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Adam Bear
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Adam Bear

Research/Data Scientist

Harvard University

About Me

Hello! I’m a cognitive psychology researcher and statistical consultant based at Harvard University and MIT, who has also recently done machine learning and data science work in clinical psychology. This website contains my published papers as well as occasional posts about Bayesian probability, causality, and decision making.

Interests

  • Judgment & Decision Making
  • Consciousness & Free Will
  • Evolutionary Game Theory
  • Bayesian Statistics

Education

  • PhD in Cognitive Psychology, 2018

    Yale University

  • MA in Philosophy, 2013

    Brown University

  • BA in Cognitive Science, 2013

    Brown University

Posts

Don't turn the LSAT into a lottery
The randomness that's fair
Unpacking the logic of self-signaling
The subtle logic of strategic ignorance
A difference in Likert means could be a difference in latent variances
Using ordinal regression for signal detection theory
What is evidence to a Bayesian?
Does failure to reveal information reveal information?
The Pólya urn model of belief
Probability is plausibility
Why evidential and causal decision theory usually agree
The limits of Big Data for self-help
Bayes workshop

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