Adam Bear
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What is evidence to a Bayesian?
Does failure to reveal information reveal information?
The Pólya urn model of belief
Probability is plausibility
Why evidential and causal decision theory usually agree
The limits of Big Data for self-help
Random effects won’t solve the problem of generalizability
Bayes workshop
Loss functions modulate the optimal bias-variance trade-off
The implied truth effect: Attaching warnings to a subset of fake news headlines increases perceived accuracy of headlines without warnings
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